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Housing Bottom in Texas.
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- Dallas historically supports Price to Income ratio of 1.9.
Dallas 2006 bubble top Price to Income ratio was 2.3.
Dallas Housing bottom 2015 target - 15% price drop from 2006 bubble top price.
- Austin historically supports Price to Income ratio of 2.1.
Austin 2006 bubble top Price to Income ratio was 2.5.
Austin Housing bottom 2015 target - 15% price drop from 2006 bubble top price.
- San Antonio historically supports Price to Income ratio of 2.4.
San Antonio 2006 bubble top Price to Income ratio was 2.7.
San Antonio Housing bottom 2015 target - 10% price drop from 2006 bubble top price.
- Houston historically supports Price to Income ratio of 1.9.
Houston 2006 bubble top Price to Income ratio was 2.5.
Houston Housing bottom 2015 target - 25% price drop from 2006 bubble top price.
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Housing Bottom in Texas. Information for California "investors".
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If you are a California "investor" thinking about investing in some "cheap" $200,000 condos in Dallas, Austin, San Antonio, or Houston,
here is some math for you to ponder over.
- $200,000 condo you are thinking about buying was $75,000 in 2002.
- Property taxes on $200,000 condo in Texas will be $7,000/year (3.5%).
- Association fees on the condo will be $3,000/year.
- Maintenance and other misc costs will add up to another $2,000/year.
- $200,000 can earn you $10,000/year in guaranteed income at 5% a year. You give up this potential guaranteed income by investing in a condo.
- Your taxes, costs and interest income you give up total $22,000/year.
- Rent you'll be able to get in Texas is $800/month - say $10,000/year (downtown condos that rent for $1,500/month cost $500,000, not $200,000).
- So each year you'll be losing $12,000 on your Texas condo "investment".
- The condo will be worth $75,000 again in a few years (that's what non-investor condo buyers in Texas can afford on their $30,000/year income).
- So you'll take a $125,000 loss after you sell the condo on top of your $12,000 annual losses.
- Happy Texas Real Estate investing.
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Housing Bottom links.
Housing Bottom dictionary.
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Price to Income ratio
Sell now or be priced in forever
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