Texas Housing Bottom
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Housing Bottom in Texas.
  • Dallas historically supports Price to Income ratio of 1.9.
    Dallas 2006 bubble top Price to Income ratio was 2.3.
    Dallas Housing bottom 2015 target - 15% price drop from 2006 bubble top price.

  • Austin historically supports Price to Income ratio of 2.1.
    Austin 2006 bubble top Price to Income ratio was 2.5.
    Austin Housing bottom 2015 target - 15% price drop from 2006 bubble top price.

  • San Antonio historically supports Price to Income ratio of 2.4.
    San Antonio 2006 bubble top Price to Income ratio was 2.7.
    San Antonio Housing bottom 2015 target - 10% price drop from 2006 bubble top price.

  • Houston historically supports Price to Income ratio of 1.9.
    Houston 2006 bubble top Price to Income ratio was 2.5.
    Houston Housing bottom 2015 target - 25% price drop from 2006 bubble top price.

Housing Bottom in Texas. Information for California "investors".
    If you are a California "investor" thinking about investing in some "cheap" $200,000 condos in Dallas, Austin, San Antonio, or Houston, here is some math for you to ponder over.

  • $200,000 condo you are thinking about buying was $75,000 in 2002.
  • Property taxes on $200,000 condo in Texas will be $7,000/year (3.5%).
  • Association fees on the condo will be $3,000/year.
  • Maintenance and other misc costs will add up to another $2,000/year.
  • $200,000 can earn you $10,000/year in guaranteed income at 5% a year. You give up this potential guaranteed income by investing in a condo.
  • Your taxes, costs and interest income you give up total $22,000/year.
  • Rent you'll be able to get in Texas is $800/month - say $10,000/year (downtown condos that rent for $1,500/month cost $500,000, not $200,000).
  • So each year you'll be losing $12,000 on your Texas condo "investment".
  • The condo will be worth $75,000 again in a few years (that's what non-investor condo buyers in Texas can afford on their $30,000/year income).
  • So you'll take a $125,000 loss after you sell the condo on top of your $12,000 annual losses.
  • Happy Texas Real Estate investing.

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